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CITIC Jiantou: The domestic cross-border e-commerce industrial chain has been gradually improved. CITIC Jiantou said that from 2010 to 2014, China's cross-border e-commerce entered a stage of rapid development. With the rise of mobile Internet infrastructure and the penetration rate of overseas cross-border e-commerce giants in the Mainland, the supporting facilities of the industrial chain have been gradually improved, subdivided and specialized, relevant policies have continued to exert their strength, and the customs supervision model has gradually become clear; Cross-border e-commerce industry chain is long, and there are relatively many hidden risk points because it involves cross-border. The cost structure of each link is mainly different due to the differences in participation roles, platform models, product types, warehousing and logistics structures, etc. Overall, the current cost structure is relatively stable, but there is also a large room for optimization. The degree of specialization and refinement of service providers will be improved, and the overall control, collaboration and empowerment of the industry chain and the refined arrangement led by big data and industry cognition will become one of the core competitiveness.Guotai Junan: It is suggested that the beauty care sector with product and channel changes and flexibility should be optimized from the bottom up. Guotai Junan said that after the pressure of consumption in 2022 and the destocking of consumers in 2023, the beauty consumption will return to the normal purchase cycle in 2024, and the industry prosperity will improve month-on-month, and the double-digit growth of online beauty will be achieved. However, after the channel dividend subsided, the platform traffic and price competition became fierce, and the brand differentiation further intensified. Relying on the product innovation and channel operation ability brought by organizational efficiency, the performance of domestic products in the head is still bright, and the rise of new domestic products has spread from beauty cosmetics to personal care. Looking forward to 2025, the market risk appetite will be significantly restored. Because of its many changes and the rising trend of domestic products as a whole, the American nursing sector has obvious growth attributes and significantly benefited from its style. Brand differentiation in the fundamental dimension has intensified, and it is suggested that the flexible target with product and channel changes should be optimized from bottom to top.Futures on the Nikkei Stock Exchange of Singapore opened down 175 points to 39,635.

The memorial hall for the victims of the Nanjing Massacre by the Japanese invaders held a ceremony to raise the national flag and fly it at half mast. (CCTV)Yuejiang: It is planned to sell about 40 million H shares globally through the IPO of Hong Kong stocks. It is expected to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 23, and Yuejiang announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 13 that the company plans to sell about 40 million H shares globally, with Hong Kong public offering accounting for 5% and international offering accounting for 95%. The offer price will not be higher than HK$ 20.80 per offering share, and it is currently expected to be not lower than HK$ 18.80 per offering share, with 200 shares per lot. It is expected that the shares will start trading on the Stock Exchange at 9: 00 am on Monday, December 23, 2024, Hong Kong time.Senior Advisor of Shi Pomao: Japan must be prepared for Trump tariffs. One of Japan's top security officials said that Japan needs to be prepared for the threat of US President-elect Trump to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and adjust the supply chain to reduce the collateral damage to Japanese enterprises. Akihisa Nagashima, national security adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao, said that during his recent visit to the United States, he had a "frank" communication with Trump team members on tariff issues. "I realized that Japan must be ready for Trump to implement his plan," he said.

South Korea will take additional market stabilization measures when necessary.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Apple is reported to cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. On December 13, it was reported that Apple intends to invest in self-developed AI chips, jointly develop them with Broadcom, and produce them in TSMC's 3 nm process, and mass-produce them in 2026. The legal person is optimistic that after the development of Apple's self-developed AI chip is completed, the investment is expected, and TSMC's advanced process will usher in another big order. It is understood that Apple's current A-series processors for iPhone and M-series processors for Mac all adopt self-developed strategies, and are exclusively manufactured by TSMC. The legal person believes that once Apple's self-developed chips are extended to AI chips, the cooperation with TSMC will be closer. (Taiwan Province Economic Daily)